Napoli vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
NAP
2 - 1
MES
58%
21%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
NAP
0 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
NAP
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
USA
1 - 2
JUV
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
PAR
0 - 0
USA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
TRI
0 - 1
USA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
USA
3 - 2
USF
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BRE
4 - 0
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |