Napoli vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 1
NAP
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
NAP
3 - 1
FCC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 0
USA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
USA
3 - 2
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VER
2 - 0
USA
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |