Napoli vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
NAP
3 - 1
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
VER
4 - 3
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
USA
3 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
USA
0 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
USA
2 - 1
INT
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |