Napoli vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
NAP
31%
26%
42%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
CAT
0 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIC
1 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
FAN
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 0
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
USA
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
USA
0 - 1
VER
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SPA
4 - 2
USA
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
USA
1 - 2
MOD
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |