Napoli vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1934 |
NAP
5 - 2
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
CAS
1 - 4
NAP
22%
24%
55%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1934 |
FIO
0 - 0
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
TRI
3 - 0
USA
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
USA
2 - 1
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |