Napoli vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
INT
6 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
JUV
5 - 3
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
NAP
4 - 2
TRI
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAP
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
USA
0 - 1
ROM
36%
24%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
USA
2 - 2
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 0
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
TOR
4 - 1
USA
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -2 |