Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Napoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 1
SDL
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 1
AVE
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
SDL
2 - 1
NAP
73%
19%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 0
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ATL
3 - 1
TER
61%
25%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |