Napoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
NAP
2 - 0
ACM
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
42%
31%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
NAP
4 - 0
CES
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
SAM
1 - 0
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
VIC
53%
28%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 1
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |