Napoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 2
NAP
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACP
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
USA
2 - 2
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
TAR
0 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIC
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
TAR
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
TAR
0 - 2
FAN
78%
12%
9%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ACP
1 - 3
TAR
60%
19%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |