Napoli vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 3
NAP
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
1 - 1
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
NAP
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
3 - 0
GIU
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 1
NAP
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
REG
0 - 0
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 0
VIS
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |