Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
NAP
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2005 |
NAP
2 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 3
NAP
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
1 - 1
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIS
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
RIM
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |