Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
VIG
1 - 2
NAP
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 7 | 64 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 3
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
NAP
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPA
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
POT
2 - 1
SPA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |