Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
NAP
4 - 0
SSS
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
NAP
2 - 3
FIO
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 0
VIC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 5
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 5
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |