Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 2
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 2
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 2
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 2
SPA
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |