Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
PAL
2 - 2
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
NAP
0 - 2
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 2
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ACM
6 - 1
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |