Napoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ROM
5 - 2
NAP
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
NAP
1 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 3
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
NAP
2 - 3
NOV
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
SPA
4 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
UDI
2 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 2
JUV
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |