Napoli vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 1
REG
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NAP
4 - 1
EMP
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAP
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 2
NAP
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 0
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 1
SIR
70%
17%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SIR
0 - 4
SPE
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 1
EMP
52%
21%
27%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |