Napoli vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAP
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
NAP
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 4
ACM
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 0
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 4
SIE
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |