Napoli vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
VIC
3 - 3
NAP
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
NAP
0 - 1
LIV
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VER
2 - 2
NAP
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
COS
0 - 0
SIE
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
CAG
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |