Napoli vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 2
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
UDI
0 - 0
NAP
72%
16%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 4
LAZ
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CHI
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAG
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CRO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |