Coppa Italia Final
Global 1-4
Napoli vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
NAP
4 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1989 |
STU
3 - 3
NAP
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
SAM
4 - 1
PES
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
32%
30%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACM
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
FCB
2 - 0
SAM
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |