Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
TOR
3 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |