Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
18%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
VER
0 - 2
NAP
40%
28%
31%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
69%
21%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
NAP
2 - 0
TOR
50%
29%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
NAP
2 - 0
LAZ
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROM
58%
26%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ROM
5 - 0
CAT
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CAG
0 - 1
ROM
64%
22%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
ROM
0 - 0
JUV
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
USF
1 - 0
ROM
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |