Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
0 - 0
POT
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 1
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 1
MES
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |