Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 2
NAP
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
VIC
2 - 3
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ROM
2 - 1
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 3
ROM
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1960 |
UNI
0 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
ROM
6 - 1
UDI
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
BAR
0 - 3
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |