Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
VIC
4 - 0
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
UDI
7 - 0
NAP
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 1
SAM
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1958 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ROM
5 - 1
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
USA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 3
ACM
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |