Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
COM
1 - 2
NAP
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
COM
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ROM
0 - 1
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
27%
23%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |