Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
INT
4 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACL
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
BOL
4 - 0
NAP
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 2
VNZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
ROM
3 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 3
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |