Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
PAL
2 - 2
NAP
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 2
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
JUV
2 - 2
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
PAL
1 - 3
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 1
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |