Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 0
NAP
28%
23%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
NAP
4 - 2
SAM
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1936 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 1
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |