Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 3-3
Napoli vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NAP
4 - 1
LAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 2
NAP
5%
13%
82%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 1
BOL
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAP
30%
23%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
RBL
2 - 0
AUG
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
RBL
43%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
RBL
1 - 1
HSV
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SCF
2 - 1
RBL
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RBL
3 - 1
S04
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |