Napoli vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SAS
2 - 0
NAP
27%
28%
44%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
64%
24%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 0
NAP
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
84%
11%
4%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACI
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
SSM
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 2
PIS
39%
29%
31%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 3
VIR
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 1
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |