Napoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
29%
30%
41%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 0
JUV
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 3
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PRG
2 - 1
FIO
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PRG
3 - 2
ROM
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |