Napoli vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1993 |
LAZ
4 - 3
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
PES
3 - 0
NAP
26%
26%
49%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
69%
19%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 0
INT
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
JUV
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
PAR
3 - 1
ANT
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |