Napoli vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
POT
0 - 1
NAP
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CAG
2 - 2
NAP
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
NAP
3 - 0
ACP
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
NAP
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 2
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
VNZ
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |