Napoli vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
NAP
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
4 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 0
NAP
29%
24%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
PAL
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 2
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 3
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |