Napoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACL
0 - 0
NAP
58%
20%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
NOV
4 - 0
BOL
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |