Napoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
GIR
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
4 - 0
EGN
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
4 - 0
ASD
96%
3%
0%
|
94 | 7 | 87 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
LEG
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
MOD
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |