Napoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
BEO
3 - 1
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
MOD
0 - 0
JUV
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |