Napoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 0
ROM
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
4 - 2
MOD
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 1
MOD
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |