Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
NAP
1 - 1
UDI
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
INT
1 - 1
NAP
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
NAP
1 - 0
JUV
23%
28%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
KSV
1 - 1
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
LOK
3 - 1
ACM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |