Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 4
VIC
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
USF
1 - 1
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
4 - 3
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
ACM
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |