Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
63%
22%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 1
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAG
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |