Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 2
NAP
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
3 - 1
WIE
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
1 - 2
NAP
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ACM
2 - 2
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACM
33%
27%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 3
ACM
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
ACM
6 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |