Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
GEN
3 - 3
NAP
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NAP
5 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAL
5 - 1
NAP
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 4
LAZ
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
8 - 1
PAD
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 4
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |