Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAP
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 2
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |