Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Napoli vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 1
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
MET
1 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
VIC
3 - 2
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 2
MET
52%
21%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
MET
1 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
MET
3 - 2
ANG
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
REN
2 - 0
MET
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |