Napoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
NAP
0 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
NAP
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
NAP
3 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
BOL
2 - 0
MES
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 0
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |