Napoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAL
5 - 1
NAP
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 4
LAZ
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
NAP
4 - 2
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
61%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
MES
2 - 1
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MES
0 - 1
BRE
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 2
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |