Napoli vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 1
ATL
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 3
ASL
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
ROM
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
LAZ
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
PRO
5 - 1
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |